Author Insights

ErraticErrata Built One of the Biggest Web Serials Ever. Here's What Happened When He Started a New One.

By Chapter Chronicles TeamMarch 7, 202617 min read

A Practical Guide to Evil ran for nearly seven years. Over 3 million words. 7 books. A WEBTOON adaptation. A Kindle deal. Consistently ranked alongside Worm and The Wandering Inn as one of the most important English-language web serials ever written.

Then ErraticErrata stopped. Took a six-month break. And started Pale Lights — a Lovecraftian dark fantasy set in an underground cavern, with dual protagonists, no rational fiction framework, and a completely different tone.

Most web serial authors who reach that level never make that choice. The top earners on Patreon — Shirtaloon, pirateaba, Zogarth, CasualFarmer — all maintain a single long-running story. ErraticErrata walked away from one of the biggest to build something new from scratch.

Three and a half years later, the numbers tell a more complicated story than "his audience followed him."

The Numbers

Metric A Practical Guide to Evil Pale Lights
Duration ~7 years (2015–2022) ~3.5 years, ongoing
Word Count ~3,000,000 ~4,991 pages (~1.5M est.)
Royal Road Rating 4.78 / 5.0 4.82 / 5.0
Dedicated Subreddit r/PracticalGuideToEvil (7,340 subs) None — discussion still happens in the APGTE sub
Patreon Paid Members Same account ~1,980 (growing)
Patreon Revenue Same account ~$8,100/month

The quality signal is strong — Pale Lights rates as high or higher than APGTE on every platform where they can be compared. But the broader community footprint tells a different story. APGTE spawned its own subreddit with 7,340 subscribers. Pale Lights, three and a half years in, never got one — discussion still happens in the APGTE sub by default.

The paying audience migrated. The discussion ecosystem didn't rebuild around the new serial.

What ErraticErrata Did Right

The Patreon surviving isn't luck. Most serial authors don't plan their exits. ErraticErrata did — and the strategic decisions he made are worth documenting.

He planted the seed a year early

In March 2021 — a full year before APGTE ended — ErraticErrata published the first two chapters of Pale Lights as a Patreon bonus chapter.

"This month's extra chapter won't actually be one of the Guide, it's instead the first two chapters of the project I'll be working on when the Guide ends."

This gave his audience twelve months to adjust expectations. By the time APGTE ended, the question wasn't will he write something new? It was when does the thing he already showed us continue?

He kept the same Patreon

This sounds obvious. It wasn't. Some authors create new Patreon accounts for new projects, splitting their subscriber base and losing the compounding effect of years of audience building.

ErraticErrata kept one Patreon under the "ErraticErrata" brand — not tied to either serial specifically. His identity as an author was the product, not any single story.

He used vacation mode during the gap

When APGTE ended on February 26, 2022, Patreon went into vacation mode. Patrons weren't charged during the six-month break. All previously Patreon-exclusive APGTE chapters were made publicly available.

This preserved goodwill. The implicit message: I'm not taking your money while I'm not writing. Come back when there's something to read.

Six months later, in August 2022, Pale Lights began. The gap was planned, communicated, and exactly long enough to rest without losing momentum.

He moved to Royal Road

APGTE was published on practicalguidetoevil.wordpress.com — a platform with zero discoverability. Readers found it through Reddit, SpaceBattles, and word of mouth. Every reader was hand-won.

Pale Lights started on its own WordPress site too (palelights.com), but in February 2023, ErraticErrata added a Royal Road mirror. By March 2025, he dropped WordPress entirely and moved exclusively to Royal Road, citing "logistical reasons" and WordPress's "increasing affiliation with a whole gaggle of generative AI stuff."

The platform shift was arguably his most impactful strategic decision. Royal Road provides recommendation algorithms, trending lists, follower notifications, and a massive built-in reader base — all things WordPress lacked. The result: 4.6 million views and over 8,500 followers on a platform APGTE never benefited from.

The Paying Audience Migrated

Here's the good news for authors considering a transition: ErraticErrata's paying subscriber base survived and is growing.

His Patreon currently has nearly 2,000 paid members generating over $8,100 per month — and it's actively growing, designated a "Hot Creator" by Graphtreon.

The tier structure stayed simple: $5/month for 3 advance chapters (3 weeks ahead). Same model as APGTE. Readers who were willing to pay before were willing to pay again.

Compare this to Wildbow — the closest comparable case in web fiction.

The Wildbow Comparison

Wildbow (J.C. McCrae) is the other author who's attempted serial-to-serial transitions at scale — seven serials since 2011. Some are completely separate universes (Pact, Twig, Pale). One — Ward — is a direct sequel set in Worm's world with returning characters. The audience data is revealing regardless:

Serial Period Relationship to Worm Goodreads Ratings Goodreads Avg
Worm 2011–2013 10,527 4.60
Pact 2013–2015 New universe 1,327 3.89
Twig 2015–2017 New universe 791 4.37
Ward 2017–2020 Worm sequel 1,043 4.01
Pale 2020–2023 New universe 269 4.52

The most striking finding: Ward — a direct sequel to Wildbow's most popular work — captured only 9.9% of Worm's Goodreads footprint. Returning to the same universe didn't meaningfully outperform starting fresh. Pact (new universe) captured 12.6%. Even a sequel can't recapture the original's audience.

Seven serials later, Wildbow's Patreon sits at ~1,030 paid members and ~$4,670/month. He peaked during Ward (2017–2020) and has declined steadily since.

ErraticErrata, on his second serial, has nearly twice the paid patrons and nearly twice the monthly revenue. He took one clean break and maintained his base, rather than eroding it across six additional projects.

The contrast suggests that each transition costs you audience, and the cost compounds. One well-managed transition is survivable. Serial transitions are a leak.

The Discussion Community Didn't Follow

Here's the other side.

Pale Lights isn't a sequel. It's a completely separate universe — different setting, different magic system, different genre. The only connection is the author. Despite that, Pale Lights never built its own subreddit. Discussion still happens in r/PracticalGuideToEvil (7,340 subscribers), which absorbed Pale Lights by default as an author-fan community rather than a story-fan community.

Forum activity followed the same pattern: APGTE's SpaceBattles thread ran to 292 pages; Pale Lights' sits at 3. The community hub shifted to Discord ("Erraticana"), which hosts AMAs and fan resources — but Discord communities are private and searchable by nobody, which means less visible footprint even when engagement is real.

The paying core migrated. The broader community — the people who argue about plot theories on Reddit, write forum posts, build the public discussion that makes a serial feel culturally relevant — largely didn't.

Why the Split?

Three factors explain it.

The genre shift cut off a key community pipeline. APGTE was tailor-made for r/rational. Its core mechanic — narrative tropes functioning as in-universe physics — was catnip for the rational fiction community. Pale Lights has no equivalent hook. It's not tagged as rational fiction on Royal Road. The community that generated APGTE's most active discussion threads doesn't have a natural home in Pale Lights.

Discussion communities are venue-dependent, not author-dependent. WordPress comments, SpaceBattles threads, and subreddit activity are driven by platform-specific dynamics. When ErraticErrata moved to Royal Road, he gained readers but lost the discussion ecosystem that had grown around WordPress and SpaceBattles. Royal Road's review section is strong; its comment section isn't a substitute for a SpaceBattles thread.

The original work's cultural footprint keeps growing independently. APGTE now has a WEBTOON adaptation (45 episodes, Season 1), a Mango Media book deal, a Dreamscape audiobook, and an active Royal Road listing. It's accumulating new readers who discover it through channels that didn't exist when it was publishing — and those new readers build the community metrics for APGTE, not Pale Lights.

What Reviews Actually Say

We coded 15+ detailed reviews across Royal Road, Goodreads, SpaceBattles, DLP forums, and Tumblr. The sentiment pattern is remarkably clear.

No "This Isn't APGTE" Contingent

Across every platform, not a single reviewer complained that Pale Lights is "too different from A Practical Guide to Evil." Every APGTE comparison says Pale Lights is better or a step forward.

"Pale Lights is a big step forward." — Wr4ith0 (Goodreads, 5 stars)

"Tremendous jump in quality from the practical guide to evil." — Summe Mayssami (Goodreads, 5 stars)

"A very different beast from Guide." — ArcanaVitae (Royal Road, 5 stars)

"A stylistic improvement over his previous work." — MrStaleman (Royal Road, 5 stars)

This is unusual. The default expectation for a second serial is vocal disappointment from fans who wanted the first one again. ErraticErrata avoided this entirely — partly through the teaser chapters that set expectations early, partly because the writing quality jump is genuine and hard to argue with.

The Praise Themes

Three qualities dominate:

Character writing. Universally cited as the greatest strength. "Extraordinarily well written," "intensely nuanced," "genuinely alive." The dual protagonist structure — Tristan the street thief and Angharad the noblewoman — gives readers two distinct emotional investments.

Worldbuilding. The underground Vesper setting draws comparisons to Fallen London and Sunless Sea. Reviewers describe it as "an actual place with a real history." The Lovecraftian Renaissance aesthetic — gods as lovecraftian horrors that grant power through contracts — is distinctive enough to stick.

Prose quality. Multiple reviewers note a clear step above typical Royal Road fiction. Alexander Wales (author of Worth the Candle) reviewed it favorably, calling it "a step above RR fare." Sidders1943 compared it to Black Company and Malazan — print-published benchmarks, not web serial ones.

The Criticism Themes

The barriers to entry are real:

Large cast. ~30 characters introduced in the first arc. Five to six reviewers cite this as the primary obstacle. The community has produced Google Docs and spreadsheets to help readers track characters — which tells you both that it's a genuine problem and that the audience cares enough to solve it collectively.

Pacing. The story is described as "unhurried." Book 2's middle is called "denseeee." One reviewer says pacing issues are "even worse than bad spots of APGTE." But most qualify this by saying pushing through is rewarded.

Typos. The most consistent technical complaint, forgiven given the weekly pace.

The Crossover Signal

Here's the data point that matters most for understanding the audience migration: approximately 65-70% of Royal Road reviewers make no mention of APGTE at all.

These aren't long-time ErraticErrata fans following their favorite author. These are readers who discovered Pale Lights on Royal Road — through recommendation algorithms, trending lists, or the 4.82 rating — and judged it on its own merits. Some reviewers discovered Pale Lights first and then went back to read APGTE. The "reverse pipeline."

Pale Lights has more Royal Road followers (8,500+) than APGTE's reworked Royal Road listing (3,677). It's building an audience base that isn't derived from APGTE. It's derived from the platform.

The Economics of Starting Over

Here's where the conversation gets uncomfortable.

ErraticErrata's transition is, by every reasonable measure, one of the most successful serial-to-serial transitions in web fiction history. He maintained his Patreon income, avoided community backlash, improved his writing, and expanded to a new platform.

And he still earns less than authors who never made that choice.

Author Serial Patreon Paid Members Monthly Revenue (est.) Strategy
Zogarth The Primal Hunter ~11,000+ $40,000+ One serial, ongoing
Shirtaloon He Who Fights With Monsters ~9,000 $30,000+ One serial, ongoing
pirateaba The Wandering Inn 6,081 $17,000–49,000 One serial, ongoing
CasualFarmer Beware of Chicken 6,077 $20,000+ One serial, ongoing
ErraticErrata APGTE → Pale Lights ~1,980 ~$8,100 Transitioned
Wildbow 7 serials ~1,030 ~$4,670 Serial transitioner

The most financially successful web serial authors maintain a single long-running story. There are no prominent examples of a second serial surpassing the first in readership or revenue.

pirateaba's case is the starkest comparison. The Wandering Inn is over 16 million words across 10 volumes. One story. 6,081 paid patrons. When pirateaba changed their release schedule in 2024, they explicitly told readers to unsubscribe if they preferred the old pace. The Patreon still grew by 88 paid members.

When your readers have spent years inside one story's world, the switching cost to leave is enormous. When you start a new story, you're asking readers to build all that investment again from scratch. Most of them don't.

The Completed Serial as a Permanent Asset

The counterargument to "just keep writing one story forever" is what happens after a story ends.

APGTE's IP trajectory since completion:

  1. YONDER (Oct 2022): Reworked version published on the WEBTOON/Wattpad reading app. ErraticErrata got to "revisit the Guide and change mistakes from early in their career."
  2. WEBTOON Adaptation (Oct 2024): Official comic adaptation, 45 episodes through Season 1. The WEBTOON Canvas series surpassed 4.3 million views before being promoted to Originals.
  3. Mango Media Book Deal (Aug 2025): Kindle ebook, print editions. Original 7 books being republished as 15 smaller volumes.
  4. Dreamscape Audiobook (2025): Full series narrated by Amber Dekkers, 13 hours 57 minutes.

A completed serial is a permanent asset that can be licensed, adapted, and monetized across formats indefinitely — while the author writes something new. ErraticErrata earns revenue from Pale Lights' Patreon and from APGTE's ongoing adaptations.

This is the trade-off the Patreon numbers alone don't capture. Shirtaloon and pirateaba earn more per month, but their income is tied to continuous output on a single project. ErraticErrata has diversified.

Nine Takeaways for Authors Considering a Transition

1. Expect Audience Attrition — But It's Not Fatal

Wildbow's data suggests roughly 10-13% Goodreads rating carryover between serials. ErraticErrata's Patreon data is more encouraging (nearly 2,000 paid and growing), but community discussion activity dropped by 99% on SpaceBattles. The paying core is more durable than the visible community.

2. Brand Your Monetization Around You, Not Your Story

ErraticErrata's subscribers pay for "ErraticErrata," not for "A Practical Guide to Evil" or "Pale Lights." When he switched projects, the subscriber relationship carried over because the brand was the author, not the serial. If your monetization is tied to a single story's identity, every transition means rebuilding from scratch. If it's tied to you, your subscribers follow you to whatever you write next.

3. Pause Billing During the Gap

Not charging subscribers during your break preserves goodwill. ErraticErrata paused billing during his six-month hiatus — long enough to rest, short enough to maintain interest. He also made all previously gated content free as a goodbye gift.

4. Plant the Seed Early

Release teaser chapters of the next project while the current one is still running. ErraticErrata gave his audience a full year to adjust expectations. By the time APGTE ended, Pale Lights wasn't a surprise — it was anticipated.

5. Genre Shifts Lose Some Readers and Gain Others

APGTE's rational fiction community didn't follow to Pale Lights. But Royal Road's broader audience provided new readers who never read APGTE. Reviews universally praised the genre shift as artistic growth. Don't cling to your first story's genre if you have a different story to tell — but understand that the community structures built around the old genre won't rebuild automatically.

6. Platform Strategy Matters Enormously

Moving from WordPress to Royal Road gave ErraticErrata access to recommendation algorithms, trending lists, and a built-in reader base of millions. If your first serial was on a low-discoverability platform, your second project is an opportunity to fix that.

7. Quality Improvement Doesn't Equal Bigger Audience

Pale Lights is near-universally considered better-written than APGTE. It has a smaller audience by most measures. This is normal. A second serial starts from zero regardless of quality. What quality does is build a smaller but intensely loyal core — 4.82 on Royal Road, 71% five-star on Goodreads.

8. Your Completed Serial Keeps Working

A finished serial is an asset, not a dead project. APGTE spawned a WEBTOON, audiobook deal, book deal, and continued to gain new readers years after completion. Don't think of ending a serial as shutting something down. Think of it as releasing a finished product into the world.

9. Do This for Artistic Reasons, Not Financial Ones

The economic data is clear: the top earners in web serial fiction maintain single long-running stories. The financial incentives overwhelmingly favor continuation. Authors who start fresh should do so because they have a different story to tell — because they've grown as writers, because the new world is calling, because seven years is enough. These are valid reasons. They're just not financial ones.

The Visibility Gap

ErraticErrata managed this transition through instinct, craft, and strategic thinking. He made the right calls on Patreon management, platform migration, genre positioning, and audience communication.

But he made them blind.

He doesn't know which APGTE readers followed him to Pale Lights and which didn't. He doesn't know which Pale Lights chapter is the conversion point — the one that turns a curious APGTE reader into a paying subscriber. He doesn't know whether his Royal Road readers overlap with his Patreon base or represent an entirely separate audience. He doesn't know which of the 30 characters introduced in Pale Lights' first arc are driving people away versus hooking them.

Patreon can tell him how many people pay. It can't tell him why they started, why they stayed, or what chapter made them reach for their wallet.

For an author writing one continuous serial, the visibility gap is a missed optimization. For an author navigating the most difficult transition in serial fiction — one project to the next, one audience to whatever comes after — it's the difference between strategy and hope.


Methodology

This analysis draws on:

  • Royal Road data: Story stats, 15+ coded reviews, follower/view/rating metrics for both APGTE and Pale Lights as of March 2026
  • Patreon data: Graphtreon historical tracking, current tier structure and member counts
  • Goodreads: Ratings and text reviews for APGTE (7 books) and Pale Lights
  • Forum analysis: SpaceBattles threads for both serials, DLP forums, Tumblr reviews, r/PracticalGuideToEvil, r/ProgressionFantasy
  • Author communications: Ending Announcements post (Feb 2022), Book 3 Announcements (March 2025), Discord AMAs (July 2023, March 2025), Patreon posts, The Long Price Podcast interview
  • Comparative data: Wildbow's 7-serial track record (Goodreads ratings, Patreon data), pirateaba/Shirtaloon/CasualFarmer/Zogarth as single-serial benchmarks, Royal Road ecosystem analysis

Revenue estimates are based on publicly available Patreon member counts and tier pricing. Actual revenue may differ. APGTE Royal Road metrics reflect a recent listing created for ebook publication, not lifetime readership from the WordPress era.

Related reading:


At Chapter Chronicles, we're building fiction-native analytics for serial authors — reader progression tracking, chapter-level conversion data, churn attribution, and subscriber engagement scoring that platforms like Patreon were never designed to provide. If you're planning a transition between serials and want visibility into how your audience actually moves, learn more about publishing on Chapter Chronicles.


Frequently Asked Questions

What is Pale Lights by ErraticErrata?
Pale Lights is the second web serial by ErraticErrata (David Verburg), the author of A Practical Guide to Evil. Set in Vesper, a massive underground cavern, it follows dual protagonists — Tristan Abrascal, a street thief, and Lady Angharad Tredegar, a fallen noblewoman — as they attempt to join the Watch, an ancient order of god-killers. It has a 4.82/5 rating on Royal Road with over 8,500 followers and 4.6 million views across 174 chapters.
How did ErraticErrata transition from A Practical Guide to Evil to Pale Lights?
ErraticErrata took a planned 6-month break between serials, put his Patreon in vacation mode so patrons weren't charged, released teaser chapters a full year before APGTE ended to build anticipation, kept the same Patreon account for both projects, and shifted genres from epic/rational fantasy to Lovecraftian dark fantasy. The paying subscriber base migrated successfully, though community discussion activity dropped significantly.
Is Pale Lights better than A Practical Guide to Evil?
According to reviews across Royal Road, Goodreads, and fan forums, readers near-universally consider Pale Lights a step forward in writing quality. Common phrases include 'big step forward,' 'tremendous jump in quality,' and 'stylistic improvement.' Pale Lights has a higher Royal Road rating (4.82 vs. 4.78) and its Goodreads average (4.64) matches APGTE's best-rated later books. However, its overall audience is smaller — a common pattern for second serials.
Should web serial authors start a new serial or continue their existing one?
The data strongly favors continuation for financial reasons. Top Patreon earners like Shirtaloon (~9,000 members), pirateaba (~6,000 members), and CasualFarmer (~6,000 members) all maintain single long-running serials. Authors who transition — like ErraticErrata and Wildbow — typically see paying audiences stabilize but not grow, while community discussion activity drops significantly. Starting fresh is primarily an artistic decision, not a financial one.


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